VarietyAwards Circuitsection is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: June 8, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Patrick Harbron / Hulu / Courtesy Everett Collection Weekly Commentary: Jeremy Allen White is the front-runner for FXs The Bear but has yet to face the two-time champion, Jason Sudeikis from Ted Lasso.
Jason Segel delivers his best performance in Apple TV+s Shrinking. Its his finest since his revelatory work in the film The End of the Tour (2015), also directed by Jason Ponsoldt and one that should have received Oscar attention. His work in the freshman series is awe-inspiring, chock full of laughs and tears opposite Harrison Ford and Jessica Williams. He could be a threat to win if the show continues to build Emmy buzz.
Read:VarietysAwards Circuit for the latest Emmy predictions in all categories.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:Jeremy Allen White The Bear (FX)Jason Sudeikis Ted Lasso (Apple TV+)Bill Hader Barry (HBO)Steve Martin Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)Martin Short Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)Jason Segel Shrinking (Apple TV+) Next in LineNicholas Hoult The Great (Hulu)Mohammed Amer Mo (Netflix)Donald Glover Atlanta (FX)Bob Odenkirk Lucky Hank (AMC) Other Top-Tier PossibilitiesRamy Youssef Ramy (Hulu)Nathan Fielder The Rehearsal (HBO)Utkarsh Ambudkar Ghosts (CBS)Arnold Schwarzenegger Fubar (Netflix)Sylvester Stallone Tulsa King (Paramount+)Delroy Lindo Unprisoned (Hulu)Kayvan Novak What We Do in the Shadows (FX)Ben Wang American Born Chinese (Disney+)Adam Scott Party Down (Starz)Dave Burd Dave (FX) All Eligible Performers (Alphabetized by Network)**John Goodman The Conners (ABC)Topher Grace Home Economics (ABC)Elisha Williams The Wonder Years (ABC)Christoph Waltz The Consultant (Amazon Prime Video)James Corden Mammals (Amazon Prime Video)Stephen Merchant The Outlaws (Amazon Prime Video)Christopher Walken The Outlaws (Amazon Prime Video)Bob Odenkirk Lucky Hank (AMC)Chris ODowd The Big Door Prize (Apple TV+)Rob McElenney Mythic Quest (Apple TV+)Keegan-Michael Key Schmigadoon! (Apple TV+)Jason Segel Shrinking (Apple TV+)Jason Sudeikis Ted Lasso (Apple TV+)Billy Gardell Bob Hearts Abishola (CBS)Utkarsh Ambudkar Ghosts (CBS)Steve Howey True Lies (CBS)Ben Wang American Born Chinese (Disney+)Ronald Gladden Jury Duty (Freevee)Garrett Dillahunt Sprung (Freevee)Donald Glover Atlanta (FX)Dave Burd Dave (FX)Keegan-Michael Key Reboot (FX)Johnny Knoxville Reboot (FX)DPharaoh Woon-A-Tai Reservation Dogs (FX)Jeremy Allen White The Bear (FX)Matt Berry What We Do in the Shadows (FX)Kayvan Novak What We Do in the Shadows (FX)Bill Hader Barry (HBO)Drew Tarver The Other Two (HBO)Rhys Darby Our Flag Means Death (HBO)John Cena Peacemaker (HBO)Nathan Fielder The Rehearsal (HBO)John Goodman The Righteous Gemstones (HBO)Danny McBride The Righteous Gemstones (HBO)Michael Cimino Love, Victor (Hulu)Steve Martin Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)Martin Short Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)Ramy Youssef Ramy (Hulu)Nicholas Hoult The Great (Hulu)Delroy Lindo Unprisoned (Hulu)Carlos Valdes Up Here (Hulu)Randall Park Blockbuster (Netflix)Ralph Macchio Cobra Kai (Netflix)William Zabka Cobra Kai (Netflix)Lucas Bravo Emily in Paris (Netflix)Arnold Schwarzenegger Fubar (Netflix)Mohammed Amer Mo (Netflix)Rob Lowe Unstable (Netflix)Neil Patrick Harris Uncoupled (Netflix)Sylvester Stallone Tulsa King (Paramount+)Pete Davidson Bupkis (Peacock)John Larroquette Night Court (Peacock)William Jackson Harper The Resort (Peacock)Adam Scott Party Down (Starz)Alan Tudyk Resident Alien (Syfy) ** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: Jason Sudeikis as Ted Lasso from Ted Lasso (Apple TV+) Season 2
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.