VarietyAwards Circuitsection is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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UPDATED: April 13, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
A photo from the production of episode 403 of Succession. Photo: David M. Russell/HBO 2022 HBO. All Rights Reserved. Courtesy of David M. Russell/HBO Weekly Commentary: Its still not clear where the men of HBOs Succession will campaign so were operating off educated guessing, assuming Kieran Culkin makes his leap to lead actor drama and Brian Cox goes the way of guest drama actor. Cox has the dealers choice assuming hes not seen in any other episodes.
With that probability, a wider open race emerges with three remaining actors from Jesse Armstrongs drama series vying for attention last years winner Matthew Macfadyen, twice nominated Nicholas Braun and the still unrecognized Alan Ruck.
Based on the outlook of the season so far, Alexander Skarsgrd may be eligible in this race for the first time, as hes been appearing in many episodes of Succession. Interestingly, his father Stellan Skarsgrd of Andor could be among the eight names called on nomination morning, which could be one of the first times (if not the actual first) a father and son are recognized alongside one another in an Emmy acting race.
There are also multiple people from The White Lotus, notably F. Murray Abraham and Theo James, that could take the front-runner position depending on category decisions.
Hollywood veteran actors like John Lithgow from The Old Man and Jonathan Pryce from The Crown could also coast their way into the field, given how name recognition helps with voters.
Were still unsure how the TV Academy will respond to Better Call Saul for its final season and if theyll check off both Jonathan Banks and Giancarlo Esposito, which theyve done before. Pat Healy is also eligible as supporting actor this time around.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:Matthew Macfadyen Succession (HBO)F. Murray Abraham The White Lotus (HBO)Alan Ruck Succession (HBO)Nicholas Braun Succession (HBO)John Lithgow The Old Man (FX)Jonathan Pryce The Crown (Netflix)Matt Smith House of the Dragon (HBO)Giancarlo Esposito Better Call Saul (AMC) Next in LineKieran Culkin Succession (HBO) **Brian Cox Succession (HBO) ** Other Top-Tier PossibilitiesTheo James The White Lotus (HBO)Jonathan Banks Better Call Saul (AMC)Bradley Whitford The Handmaids Tale (Hulu)Ismael Cruz Crdova The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power (Prime Video)Claes Bang Bad Sisters (Apple TV+)Laz Alonso The Boys (Prime Video)Max Minghella The Handmaids Tale (Hulu)Stellan Skarsgrd Andor (Disney+)Alexander Skarsgrd Succession (HBO) **Elijah Wood Yellowjackets (Showtime) All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**Jeff Perry Alaska Daily (ABC)Andre Braugher The Good Doctor (ABC)Richard Schiff The Good Doctor (ABC)Sam Reid Anne Rices Interview with the Vampire (AMC)Harry Hamlin Anne Rices Mayfair Witches (AMC)Jack Huston Anne Rices Mayfair Witches (AMC)Jonathan Banks Better Call Saul (AMC)Giancarlo Esposito Better Call Saul (AMC)Pat Healy Better Call Saul (AMC)Claes Bang Bad Sisters (Apple TV+)Brian Gleeson Bad Sisters (Apple TV+)Daryl McCormack Bad Sisters (Apple TV+)Hank Azaria Hello Tomorrow! (Apple TV+)Peter Mullan Liaison (Apple TV+)Jack Lowden Slow Horses (Apple TV+)Stellan Skarsgrd Andor (Disney+)Kyle Sollder Andor (Disney+)Carl Weathers The Mandalorian (Disney+)Amar Chadha-Patel Willow (Disney+)Tony Revolori Willow (Disney+)John Lithgow The Old Man (FX)Fabien Frankel House of the Dragon (HBO)Rhys Ifans House of the Dragon (HBO)Matt Smith House of the Dragon (HBO)Steve Toussaint House of the Dragon (HBO)Dan Levy The Idol (HBO)Troye Sivan The Idol (HBO)Ken Leung Industry (HBO)Chris Chalk Perry Mason (HBO)Shea Whigham Perry Mason (HBO)Matthew Macfadyen Succession (HBO)Kieran Culkin Succession (HBO) **Nicholas Braun Succession (HBO)Alan Ruck Succession (HBO)Alexander Skarsgrd Succession (HBO) **Ed Harris Westworld (HBO)James Marsden Westworld (HBO)Jeffrey Wright Westworld (HBO)F. Murray Abraham The White Lotus (HBO)Tom Hollander The White Lotus (HBO)Michael Imperioli The White Lotus (HBO)Theo James The White Lotus (HBO)Will Sharpe The White Lotus (HBO)Leo Woodall The White Lotus (HBO)O-T Fagbenle The Handmaids Tale (Hulu)Max Minghella The Handmaids Tale (Hulu)Bradley Whitford The Handmaids Tale (Hulu)Vincent DOnofrio Godfather of Harlem (MGM+)Aneurin Barnard 1899 (Netflix)Anton Lesser 1899 (Netflix)Jonathan Pryce The Crown (Netflix)Jonny Lee Miller The Crown (Netflix)Ato Essandoh The Diplomat (Netflix)David Gyasi The Diplomat (Netflix)Rory Kinnear The Diplomat (Netflix)Rufus Sewell The Diplomat (Netflix)Boyd Holbrook The Sandman (Netflix)Ed Speleers You (Netflix)Timothy Dalton 1923 (Paramount+)Brandon Sklenar 1923 (Paramount+)Michael Emerson Evil (Paramount+)Andre Braugher The Good Fight (Paramount+)John Slattery The Good Fight (Paramount+)Charles Dance Rabbit Hole (Paramount+)Wes Bentley Yellowstone (Paramount Network)Gil Birmingham Yellowstone (Paramount Network)Luke Grimes Yellowstone (Paramount Network)Cole Hauser Yellowstone (Paramount Network)Adrian Holmes Bel-Air (Peacock)Olly Sholotan Bel-Air (Peacock)Jake McDorman Mrs. Davis (Peacock)Jensen Ackles The Boys (Prime Video)Laz Alonso The Boys (Prime Video)Tomer Capone The Boys (Prime Video)Chase Crawford The Boys (Prime Video)Jessie T. Usher The Boys (Prime Video)Stanley Tucci Citadel (Prime Video)Richard Aramayo The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power (Prime Video) **Owain Arthur The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power (Prime Video)Ismael Cruz Crdova The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power (Prime Video)Charlie Vickers The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power (Prime Video)Toheeb Jimoh The Power (Prime Video)John Leguizamo The Power (Prime Video)Taylor Kitsch The Terminal List (Prime Video)Kevin Alves Yellowjackets (Showtime)Warren Kole Yellowjackets (Showtime)Steven Krueger Yellowjackets (Showtime)Elijah Wood Yellowjackets (Showtime)Bjorgvin Arnarson Chucky (Syfy)Devon Sawa Chucky (Syfy)J Alphonse Nicholson P Valley (Starz) ** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: Matthew Macfadyen, Succession (HBO) Season 3
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY SERIES | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | VARIETY SKETCH, SERIES, SPECIALS |
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories GUEST ACTING, VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.